By the end of the twenty-first century the temperature on Earth will rise by 15%

2017-12-08 12:18

By the end of the twenty-first century the temperature on Earth will rise by 15%
With such a forecast made by a group of American experts on the basis of study of data obtained by calculation using the experimental model of the globe.

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While maintaining the emission into the atmosphere of combustion products of hydrocarbons, at the same level the temperature on Earth by 2100 may increase by 15%, reports Rus.Media.

With such a forecast made by a group of American experts on the basis of study of data obtained by calculation using the experimental model of the globe.

The main conclusion of the summary report Patrick brown and Ken Caldeira, climate scientists from the Carnegie institution at Stanford University (CA) – I need to return to the issue of reducing gas emissions produced by the combustion of natural hydrocarbons and contribute to the greenhouse effect.

In 2014, the Group of intergovernmental experts on the evolution of Earth’s climate (GEEKS), has published a report on global warming by the end of XXI century, in which this problem does not look so dramatic. Then their insights were perceived by the academics planet with relief.

Now experts from California on the basis of their research conclude about the acceleration of the rate of temperature rise of the environment and recognize the data of experts, GEEKS not correspond to the realities of the time. In an article published in the scientific journal Nature, brown and Caldeira defend the most pessimistic forecast of events. So, they believe that by the end of this century the increase in temperature of the planet in the range from 3.2 to 5.9 degrees as compared to the so-called pre-industrial period of human development.

Such a significant “fork” in almost 3 degrees scientists explain the increased absorption of the planet’s surface the energy of the Sun and its reflection, it is difficult to calculate accurately. This effect leads to a considerable spread of predicted indicators of global warming. Ignoring the results of calculations with counterparts, GEEKS, scientists from California agree that the planet’s atmosphere the increase in temperature of even 0.5% is very noticeable.

The increase in Global sea level is not the main danger

According to experts of the Carnegie institution, increasing the temperature one or more degrees will lead not only to increase of level of World ocean, but also to increase the level of ocean acidity that threatens the loss of flora and fauna; the sharp narrowing of the ration (coastal) ice at the poles, to increase rainfall on the planet.

The results show that “without reduction of emission gases into the atmosphere to slow down long trend to an increase in the greenhouse effect is impossible”, say brown and Caldeira. They recall that according to the Paris climate agreement 2015, heads of States signatories to the document pledged to do everything to keep the rise in global average temperature “is far below 2 degrees” and “effort” to limit the growth of temperature of half a degree.